Marc De Mesel: Crypto 60% Chance Drop To $160B
Only 16% of my viewers agrees, 36% believes chances are less than 30% we see a new high in undervaluation to Trololo Regression Trendline eventhou this always happened in previous bears before new bull started (new high would be -55% * trendline at $350B = actually 180B, not 160B as mentioned in video). 17% estimates chances between 30% and 60% chance which is averaging 45% chance, and less chance than random coin flip, and flat out wrong too as chances for historical patterns to repeat are higher than random.
Considering Kelly Criterion recommends small exposure if chance is high for correction, which is case today, think especially those that have big majority exposure are not approaching investing rationally and will sooner or later pay the price.
Poll:
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1176053569197367296?s=19
My Crypto Investment Plan:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WSeePxcqVyZ__99I-dAcvMBZuEzTq1DX8KzstSKoS5c/edit#gid=43
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- Read full article on: Marc De Mesel
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