Marc De Mesel: I'm Betting On Trump
I think chances Trump remains president is higher as 10%, think 50%. That means I have 50% chance to tenfold my money, in just 2 months, a bet worth taking.
Following the Kelly Criterion allocation and given the platform FTX is biased and has bad track record in honoring betting terms, only betting 30% Kelly still gives a recommended 3% allocation, that can turn into 30% of your portfolio if you win.
Here some links as to why I estimate chance for Trump to remain president at 50%:
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1334863119932403713
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1332584271253544960
https://twitter.com/CurtisBMackenz1/status/1331968084832227330
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1331962863104176128
https://twitter.com/bill_mcgonigle/status/1331922919446949888
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1332578252225908736
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1332571906877366274
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1333331731672412161
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